并网微电网短期负荷预测

J. Izzatillaev, Z. Yusupov
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引用次数: 9

摘要

分布式能源并网需要考虑多种因素的影响。其中之一是微电网负荷的确定。在预测电力负荷的基础上建立一个可行和高效的微电网更为重要。分析了微电网的用电量预测,分析了各种短期用电量预测方法的适用范围和优缺点。采用数据处理分组方法(GMDH)和人工神经网络(ANN)两种方法进行短期负荷预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term Load Forecasting in Grid-connected Microgrid
The integration of distributed energy resources (DER) into main grid need to consider the influence of many factors. One of them is the determination of electric load in Microgrid. Creating a feasible and efficient Microgrid based on the predicted power load is more relevant. The paper analyzes the forecasting of the electric energy consumption in Microgrids, analyzes the area of applicability, advantages and disadvantages of short-term forecasting methods of power consumption. Two methods - Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are used to determine short-term load forecasting.
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