国家发展造船业政策对海运的影响

A. Smirnov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

21世纪初,联邦当局意识到造船业的重要性和重要性及其对经济的影响,采取了一系列措施,以满足国民经济对货运运输的需求。本文的目的是确定国家造船支持措施对海运和内河货物运输量的影响。为了实现这一目标,本文在官方统计数据的基础上,对俄罗斯运输系统的整体发展及其个别结构组成部分进行了比较分析。用线性和非线性二阶多项式模型对所得结果进行了复核。研究结果发现,没有统计上显著的模式反映海运和内河运输货物运输的增加。因此,虽然政府加大了对造船业的支持力度,并积极开发港口基础设施,但对货运业的影响并不大。当时,海运货运量减少的负面趋势在2017年被克服,这应该被视为一个积极的点,表明后续增长存在一定的先决条件。关键词:工业,造船,海运,海港,基础设施
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of the State Policy of Shipbuilding Development on Sea Freight
In the 2000s, the federal authorities, realizing the importance and significance of the shipbuilding industry, its effect on the economy, took a whole range of measures for prospective development of the industry that shall meet the needs of the national economy in cargo shipping. The purpose of the paper is to determine the effect of measures of state shipbuilding support on the volume of sea and inland water cargo shipping. To achieve this goal, the paper provides a comparative analysis of the development of the transport system of Russia as a whole and its individual structural components based on the official statistics. The obtained results are rechecked using linear and nonlinear second-order polynomial models. As a result of the study, it was found the absence of statistically significant patterns that reflect the increase in cargo shipping by sea and inland water transport. Consequently, the increase in government support for shipbuilding and the active development of the seaports infrastructure have not significantly effected on cargo shipping yet. At that time, the negative trend of reduction in sea freight traffic was overcome in 2017 that should be considered as a positive point, indicating the presence of certain prerequisites for subsequent growth. Keywords—industry, shipbuilding, maritime transport, seaports, infrastructure
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