一个用于政策分析的简单宏观财政模型:在柬埔寨的应用

SPGMI: Capital IQ Data (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.5089/9781513556857.001.A001

D. Baksa, Aleš Bulíř, Dyna Heng

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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文描述了一种模拟和预测宏观经济政策的半结构性宏观财政方法。我们的标准模型适用于柬埔寨，我们通过Covid-19大流行的宏观经济影响的说明性情景来演示其应用。与近期预测工具和专家判断相辅相成，该模型的动态有助于决策者了解中期传播渠道，从而指导政策建议。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Cambodia

The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. Our canonical model is adapted to Cambodia and we demonstrate its application with an illustrative scenario of macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. Complemented with near-term forecasting tools and expert judgment, the dynamics of the model helps to inform policymakers about medium-term transmission channels and thus guide policy advice.

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SPGMI: Capital IQ Data (Topic)

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