欧元区债务危机与美国战略:欧洲地缘政治的回归

Sotiris Serbos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧洲债务危机的曝光,让被遗忘的地缘政治学科重新抬头,同时也让地缘政治在当前跨大西洋外交政策分析中成为可信的分析工具。直到最近,它还是当代欧洲最不受欢迎、最过时的知识概念之一。2009年开始的不确定时期包括欧洲大国之间的战略紧张关系,这为引入一种新的国家关系格局铺平了道路,这种格局将继续改变欧盟主要地区集团之间的权力平衡。本文的目的是提供一个概念框架,在这个框架上,除了持续的系统性矛盾心理、结构性脆弱性和信心丧失之外,债权国-债务国分歧的主导地位,而不是欧洲对危机的一致反应,首先引入了地缘政治不确定性因素。由于债权人-债务人关系,而不是任何其他形式的地缘政治摩擦,欧盟的一些核心平衡已经被打破,影响了欧洲内部的权力关系,并逐渐为影响欧洲和美国的地缘政治困境的演变铺平了道路(代表性的例子将包括法德轴心、中欧和东欧、俄罗斯和中国)。最重要的是,美国对欧洲债务危机的战略影响日益担忧,以及维持大西洋西部不间断和协调的地缘政治必要性,增加了将前瞻性的跨大西洋分析结合起来的必要性。在这方面,本文所遵循的方法揭示了乌克兰危机如何象征着一种政策转变,以及美国地缘政治变化的明确信号:a)有效地解决欧盟背景下经济与安全问题之间的联系;b)逐步建立一种功能性的权力平衡,使欧洲保持团结,并有能力维持其缓慢但坚定的支持一体化的动力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Eurozone's Debt Crisis and US Strategy: A Return of Geopolitics for Europe
The unveiling of the debt crisis in Europe brings forward a resurgence of the forgotten discipline of geopolitics along with its significance as a credible analytical tool in present transatlantic foreign policy analysis. Up until very recently one of the most unpopular and outdated intellectual concepts in contemporary Europe. The period of uncertainty which started in 2009 has included strategic tensions between European powers which have paved the way for introducing a new geometry of state relations that will continue altering the balance of power among key EU regional groupings. The aim of the paper is to provide a conceptual framework upon which, the predominance of the creditor-debtor divide rather than a consistent European wide response to the crisis, apart from sustaining systemic ambivalence, structural vulnerability and loss of confidence, above all introduces elements of geopolitical uncertainty. Due to the creditor-debtor relationships and not any other form of geopolitical frictions, a number of core EU balances have been broken down which affect intra-European power correlations and progressively pave the way for the evolution of geopolitical dilemmas impacting both on Europe and the US (indicative examples will include the Franco-German axis, Central and Eastern Europe, Russia and China). On top of that, growing US concerns over the strategic implications of Europe’s debt crisis and the geopolitical necessity for maintaining an unbroken and coordinated Atlantic West, increase the need for combining a forward thinking transatlantic analysis. In this regard, the methodology that is followed sheds light on how the Ukraine crisis symbolizes a policy shift and a definite signal of changing geopolitics by the US for: a) effectively address the linkages between economic and security issues in the EU context, b) progressively establish a functional balance of power that keeps Europe united and capable of sustaining its slow but determined pro-integration drive.
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