对经合组织地区未来预付费-后付费移动电话均衡的估计

Charisios Christodoulos, C. Michalakelis, D. Varoutas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是利用经合组织地区后付费和预付费移动电信用户的实时数据和信息建立一个实证Lotka-Volterra系统。遗传算法用于指定相应的捕食者-猎物竞争系统的适当系数,其中预付费订户扮演捕食者的角色。结果表明,研究区域内的后付费用户和预付费用户都处于长期稳定共存均衡的过程中。后付费和预付费的最终市场份额预测分别为58.8%和41.2%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of future prepaid — postpaid mobile telephony equilibrium in the OECD area
The objective of the present research is to build an empirical Lotka-Volterra system using real-time data and information from the postpaid and prepaid mobile telecommunications subscribers in the OECD area. Genetic algorithms are used in order to specify the appropriate coefficients of the corresponding predator-prey competition system, where the pre-paid subscribers hold the role of the predator. The results show that both the postpaid the prepaid subscribers of the area under investigation are in the process of reaching long-run stable coexistence equilibrium. The final postpaid - prepaid market share predictions are 58,8% and 41,2%, respectively.
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