经济复杂性指数(eci)是预测经济增长的最佳指标

Tsitsino Dzotsenidze
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摘要

经济的复杂性意味着有两个因素在为同一目的而运作。一方面,一个国家生产的商品越多,其经济就变得越复杂。另一方面,复杂性取决于有多少其他国家可以生产同样的商品。格鲁吉亚的收入水平和预期一样复杂。因此,计划适度发展经济。增长实验室对格鲁吉亚的2028年增长预测预计在未来十年中每年增长4.2%,使其成为全球前20个国家之一。一旦创新被引入,人们就会开始努力使用它。也就是说,他们以某种方式复制了它。同时,在这种复制之后,越来越多的使用这种特殊创新的机会暴露出来,从而导致收入的增加。这种情况每50-60年发生一次。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ECONOMIC COMPLEXITY INDEX (ECI) AS BEST INDICATOR FOR GROWTH PREDICTION
The complexity of the economy implies two factors operating for the same purpose. On the one hand, the more goods a country produces, the more complex its economy becomes. On the other hand, the complexity varies depending on how many other countries can produce the same goods. Georgia is as complex as expected in terms of its income level. As a result, it is planned to develop its economy moderately. Growth Lab's 2028 growth forecast for Georgia is projected at 4.2% annual growth over the next decade, making it one of the top twenty countries globally. As soon as innovation is introduced, people start striving to use it. That is, they are copying it in some way. Meanwhile, after this copying, more and more opportunities to use this particular innovation are revealed, which in turn leads to an increase in revenue. This happens every 50-60 years.
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