基于人工智能的智能电网稳定性预测回归模型

Abdurrahman Gönenç, Emrullah Acar, Idris Demir, M. Yilmaz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着世界人口的迅速增长和技术的迅速发展,对电能的需求也日益增长。然而,在能源有限的今天,电能必须被有效地利用并到达用户手中。当今,智能电网在保障电网稳定方面发挥着重要作用。人工智能(AI)应用被用于确保电网的稳定性。本文采用基于人工智能的回归模型(高斯过程回归、支持向量机回归、广义神经网络回归、线性回归和决策树回归)对电网稳定性进行预测。分析各模型的决定系数(R2)和误差参数均方误差(MSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)。最后,该方法取得了良好的效果。结果表明,利用该模型可以从这些估计中得到能源需求-响应平衡,从而可以更有效地进行智能电网系统的负荷和定价。此外,对于智能电网来说,一个小小的估计差异就可以消除数十亿美元的投资和运营成本。全球并网可再生能源部署的强劲增长得到了解决能源安全、地方污染问题和气候目标的各种政策的支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Artificial Intelligence Based Regression Models for Prediction of Smart Grid Stability
In parallel with the rapid increase in the world population and the rapid development of technology day by day, the need for electrical energy is increasing to this extent. However, today, due to the limited energy resources, electrical energy must be utilized efficiently and reach the users. Today, electrical smart grids play an important role in ensuring electrical grid stability. Artificial intelligence (AI) applications are used to ensure electricity grid stability. In this study, artificial intelligence based regression models (Gaussian Process Regression, Support Vector Machine Regression, Generalized Regression of Neural Network, Linear Regression and Decision Tree Regression) were employed to predict electricity grid stability. The coefficient of determination (R2) and error parameters Mean squared error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) resulting from these models were analyzed. Finally, good results have been obtained to the proposed approach. The results show that with the proposed models, the energy demand-response balance can be department from these estimations, and the load and pricing can be made more effectively in the smart grid system. Also, for the Smart grid, a small estimation difference eliminates billions of dollars in investment and operating costs. Strong global growth in grid-integrated renewable energy deployment was supported by a variety of policies addressing energy security, local pollution issues and climate goals.
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