房屋拆船市场一体化了吗?来自土耳其的证据

Kamil Özden Efes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是通过新房销售统计和土耳其拆船价格来考察土耳其新房需求对拆船价格的影响。在这个方向上,使用非对称因果检验,它允许分离变量中包含的冲击,并确定这些冲击之间的因果关系。根据检验结果,确定了房屋销售的正冲击与拆迁价格的正冲击、房屋销售的负冲击与拆迁价格的负冲击之间的因果关系。另一方面,无法确定拆迁价格与新房销售之间是否存在重大因果关系。这种情况表明,新房销售的变化是土耳其拆船价格的决定性因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Are Housing and Ship Demolition Markets Integrated? Evidence From Turkey
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of the demand for new houses to ship demolition prices in Turkey through new house sales statistics and Turkish ship demolition prices. In this direction, asymmetric causality test is used which allows to separate the shocks contained in the variables and to determine the causal relationships between these shocks. According to test results, causality relations are determined from positive shocks in house sales to positive shocks in demolition price and from negative shocks in house sales to negative shocks in demolition price. On the other hand, any significant causality from demolition prices to new house sales cannot be determined. This situation shows that changes in the new house sales are determinative for ship demolition prices in Turkey.
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