墨西哥海上风电场盈利有利条件的确定

A. E. Ponce-Martínez, B. B. Hernández-Juárez Posgrado, J. Peña-Antonio, R. Iracheta-Cortez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了位于墨西哥瓦哈卡州萨利纳克鲁兹市沿海的海上风电场的盈利条件。在这个地点附近有墨西哥年产量最高的陆上农场。为了对风资源进行分析,比较了两个虚拟站在总共42年的海上风速记录。利用风力资源数据,计算威布尔参数,选择两种不同的风力机,对年发电量、尾迹损失和焦耳损失进行现场分析比较。通过铜损阈值和压降阈值对中压海底电力电缆进行选型和性能分析。通过对初始投资、运营和维护费用、利率以及售电价格进行更新的成本分析,进行经济分析,以证明海上风电场在经济上是否可行。最后,进行了敏感性分析,以显示不同的情景,如可变的能源生产和可变的电力销售价格,其中风电项目可能在经济上可行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determination of Favourable Conditions for Profitability of an Off-Shore Wind Farm in Mexico
This paper analyzes the conditions for profitability of an off-shore wind farm located off the coast at the municipality of Salina Cruz, Oaxaca, Mexico. Nearby this site there are onshore farms with the highest annual production in Mexico. For the analysis of the wind resource, two virtual stations which have recorded wind speeds at sea during a total period of 42 years are compared. With the wind resource data, Weibull parameters are calculated and then, two different wind turbines are chosen for analyzing and comparing the annual energy production as well as the wake and Joule losses on site. The selection and performance analysis of medium voltage submarine power cables is carried out through copper loss and voltage drop thresholds. An economic analysis is carried out to demonstrate whether the off-shore wind farm is economically viable by assuming an updated cost analysis for initial investment, operation and maintenance expenses, interest rates as well as electricity sell prices. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is carried out to show different scenarios, such as variable energy production and variable electricity sell prices, where the wind project might be economically viable.
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