孟加拉未来数年GDP及PCI统计分析

M. Arman
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摘要

本文的目的是通过观察国内生产总值和人均收入(PCI)数字来预测孟加拉国的经济未来和可持续性。自国家独立以来,51年的统计数据被用来跟踪其发展,过去11年的数据被用来预测未来。在本研究中,研究了1971年至2022年的年度统计数据,以预测未来的年份。结果表明,国家经济增长缓慢但可持续,有一定的波动。分析GDP和PCI对孟加拉国持续增长和发展的启示。可持续发展不仅是经济发展,而且是经济、社会和环境三者之间的平衡,以确保发展的长期持续和人人受益。研究结果描绘了一幅令人惊讶的未来图景。这些信息来自世界银行、经合组织和亚洲开发银行的国民账户数据。目前的研究使用了最小二乘法和趋势预测法(线性回归技术的一种变体)来评估数据和预测未来趋势。根据国际货币基金组织的预测,2023年全球将经历严重的经济衰退。为了预测孟加拉国的经济状况,本研究使用GDP和PCI。自1971年以来,GDP的平均增长率为4.4%,而PCI的平均增长率为1.8%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Statistical Analysis of the GDP and PCI of Bangladesh for the Coming Years
The objective of this paper is to anticipate Bangladesh's economic future and predict sustainability by looking at the GDP and per capita income (PCI) figures. Since the nation's independence, statistics spanning 51 years have been taken into account to track its development, and data spanning the last 11 years have been used to anticipate the years to come. In this study, annual statistics from 1971 to 2022 were studied to forecast the upcoming years. The result manifests a slow but sustainable development in the country's growth with some fluctuations. Analyzing the GDP and PCI insights into the continuous growth and development of Bangladesh. Sustainable development is not only economic development but also balancing the economic, social, and environmental factors to ensure that the development will sustain in the long run and benefits everyone. The results illustrate a surprising picture of the future. The information comes from the World Bank, OCED, and Asian Development Bank's National Account Data. The Least Square Method and the Trend Projection Method, a variant of the linear regression technique, are used in the current study to evaluate data and predict future trends. According to the IMF, the globe will experience a severe recession-like situation in 2023. In order to anticipate Bangladesh's economic status, the current study uses GDP and PCI. GDP has expanded since 1971 on average at a rate of 4.4%, whereas PCI has grown on average at a 1.8%.
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