数据线性变换下公共趋势的不变性

S. Johansen, K. Juselius
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引用次数: 4

摘要

众所周知,如果X(t)是一个非平稳过程,Y(t)是X(t)的线性函数,那么Y(t)的协整意味着X(t)的协整。如果X(t)是由有限阶VAR生成的,我们想找到一个类似的结果。我们首先证明Y(t)在预测误差方面具有无限阶VAR表示,X(t)的预测误差是线性过程。然后我们应用这个结果来证明Y(t)的共同趋势的极限是X(t)的共同趋势的线性函数。我们通过对利率期限结构的一个小分析来说明这些发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Invariance Property of the Common Trends Under Linear Transformations of the Data
It is well known that if X(t) is a nonstationary process and Y(t) is a linear function of X(t), then cointegration of Y(t) implies cointegration of X(t). We want to find an analogous result for common trends if X(t) is generated by a finite order VAR. We first show that Y(t) has an infinite order VAR representation in terms of its prediction errors, which are a linear process in the prediction error for X(t). We then apply this result to show that the limit of the common trends for Y(t) are linear functions of the common trends for X(t). We illustrate the findings with a small analysis of the term structure of interest rates.
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