墨西哥出口:协整与因果关系分析(1980 - 2012)

Q3 Social Sciences

Norteamerica Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI:10.20999/nam.2015.a004

Miguel Heras Villanueva (Profesor) , Carlos Gómez Chiñas

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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文利用计量经济学多变量时间序列技术(约翰森协整检验和格兰杰因果分析)分析了出口和产出之间的关系。利用误差修正模型估计，作者展示了墨西哥出口和gdp之间的长期关系以及这些变量之间的因果关系。这使得阐明该国进行的贸易类型及其在过去三十年中低增长的原因成为可能。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Exportaciones en México: un análisis de cointegración y causalidad (1980–2012)

This article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico’s exports and gdp as well as the causality between these variables. This makes it possible to elucidate the kind of trade the country carries out and the causes of its low growth over the last three decades.

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来源期刊

Norteamerica Social Sciences-Cultural Studies

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

20 weeks

期刊介绍： Editorial Policies Focus and Scope Section Policies Peer Review Process Open Access Policy Archiving General Criteria Ethical Guidelines Directory Indexing Editorial Bodies Editorial Board International Advisory Board Focus and Scope Norteamérica is a semiannual peer-reviewed journal regarding multi and interdisciplinary academic studies about the North America region (Mexico, United States and Canada) which consider the region itself as an object of study, along with its evolution, its individual processes and internal dynamics. An analysis of the reality of each of the three nations is thematically linked with the rest of the region. 1.- Norteamérica will publish exclusively multi- and interdisciplinary academic studies focused on the North American region (Mexico, the United States and Canada) that: a) address the region as an object of analysis: specifically, its evolution, particular processes, and internal dynamics; b) analyze the reality in each of the three nations, linking them thematically with the rest of the region; c) carry out comparative studies of the nations of North America; d) address the region and its insertion in the international context; and e) expand upon international processes and their impact within the region. 2.- Through these research perspectives, the journal will disseminate articles addressing a wide variety of general and specific issues: a) politics, economics, society and culture; b) foreign policy, trade, political systems, security, comparative politics, political philosophy and history; and c) migration, electoral processes, borders, science and technology, minorities, the environment and natural resources, education, human rights, gender, and others.