全球危机期间股票价格与汇率的关系:罗马尼亚的案例

R. Stefanescu, Ramona Dumitriu, C. Nistor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自亚洲流感以来,一些实证研究表明,在危机情况下,股价与汇率之间的关系可能会发生重大变化。这些发现在2008年开始的全球危机期间得到了证实。就罗马尼亚而言,全球危机对资本市场和外汇市场都造成了剧烈冲击。国外金融市场的传染和国内经济的一些推动导致了两个市场的复杂演变,上升和下降的趋势交替出现。本文研究了近期金融危机中不同阶段股票价格与汇率之间的相互作用。我们发现,国外金融市场的传染、汇率政策的变化以及国家经济形势对股价与汇率的关系产生了重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Linkages between the Stock Prices and the Exchange Rates During the Global Crisis: The Case of Romania
Since the Asian flu several empirical studies revealed that in the crisis circumstances the relationship between the stock prices and the exchange rates could suffer significant changes. Such findings were confirmed during the global crisis that started in 2008. In the case of Romania the global crisis caused sharp shocks on both the capital market and the foreign exchange market. Contagion from the foreign financial markets and some impulses from the national economy led to complex evolutions of both markets, where ascendant and descendent trends alternated. In this paper we study the interactions between the stock prices and the exchange rates during some distinct stages of the recent crisis. We find that contagion from the foreign financial markets, the exchange rates policy changes and the national economy situation had a major impact on the relationship between the stock prices and the exchange rates.
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