Saptarshi P. Ghosh, N. Jain, César Martinelli, J. Roy
{"title":"情绪波动、媒体报道和选举","authors":"Saptarshi P. Ghosh, N. Jain, César Martinelli, J. Roy","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3492299","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Can public mood swings that make all voters undergo an ideological shift towards a policy, hurt the electoral performance of that policy? The answer depends interestingly on the operations of an apolitical, viewership-maximizing dominant media. The media chooses news quality about fundamental uncertainties. Ex-ante preferences and news quality affect the voters' ex-ante value for information and viewership, and ex-post policy preferences and votes. Public mood swings in a policy's favor can reduce the expected vote share and the probability of winning by affecting the news quality, crowding out the mass ideological gain that initiates the change.","PeriodicalId":373527,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Game Theory (Topic)","volume":"91 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Mood Swings, Media Coverage, and Elections\",\"authors\":\"Saptarshi P. Ghosh, N. Jain, César Martinelli, J. Roy\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3492299\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Can public mood swings that make all voters undergo an ideological shift towards a policy, hurt the electoral performance of that policy? The answer depends interestingly on the operations of an apolitical, viewership-maximizing dominant media. The media chooses news quality about fundamental uncertainties. Ex-ante preferences and news quality affect the voters' ex-ante value for information and viewership, and ex-post policy preferences and votes. Public mood swings in a policy's favor can reduce the expected vote share and the probability of winning by affecting the news quality, crowding out the mass ideological gain that initiates the change.\",\"PeriodicalId\":373527,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"PSN: Game Theory (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"91 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-11-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"PSN: Game Theory (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3492299\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"PSN: Game Theory (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3492299","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Can public mood swings that make all voters undergo an ideological shift towards a policy, hurt the electoral performance of that policy? The answer depends interestingly on the operations of an apolitical, viewership-maximizing dominant media. The media chooses news quality about fundamental uncertainties. Ex-ante preferences and news quality affect the voters' ex-ante value for information and viewership, and ex-post policy preferences and votes. Public mood swings in a policy's favor can reduce the expected vote share and the probability of winning by affecting the news quality, crowding out the mass ideological gain that initiates the change.
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