巴基斯坦入境旅游的决定因素:基于GMM的分析

Alia Rani, K. Zaman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是通过使用1975-2017年的时间序列数据来研究影响巴基斯坦入境旅游的不同因素。该研究采用广义矩量法(GMM)估计量,该估计量考虑了给定回归量集的可能内生性。结果证实了人均GDP与入境旅游之间的正相关关系,并进一步在格兰杰因果关系方法中得到体现,验证了一国旅游业增长主导假说。结果进一步表明,工业增加值与国家人均收入之间存在反馈关系,而工业增加值与贸易开放程度、FDI流入与一国工业增加值之间存在单向因果关系。该研究得出结论,该国的经济资源有助于吸引国际游客,以便在娱乐目的地度过他们的时间,这是巴基斯坦经济吸引更多国际游客的重要标志,这有助于为该国赚取外汇收入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Inbound Tourism in Pakistan: A GMM Based Analysis
The objective of the study is to examine the different factors that influenced inbound tourism in Pakistan by using a time series data from 1975-2017. The study employed Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator that accounts possible endogeneity in the given set of regressors. The results confirmed the positive relationship between GDP per capita and inbound tourism, which further exhibit in the Granger causality approach where it’s verified the growth -led tourism hypothesis in a country. The results further show the feedback relationship between industrial value added and country’s per capita income while there is unidirectional causality running from industry value added to trade openness and FDI inflows to industrial value added in a country. The study conclude with the fact that country’s economic resources helpful to attract international tourists in order to spend their time in pleasure destinations, which is vital sign for Pakistan’s economy to attract more international tourists that helpful to receipt foreign exchange earnings for the country.
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