考察大米商品价格波动对省会贫困的影响:来自印度尼西亚的证据

Sri Wahyuni Deski, S. Sartiyah, C. Seftarita
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摘要

贫困是世界各国共同面临的宏观问题之一。这些问题有不同的解决办法,取决于该国贫困人口的特点。提出的解决办法之一是控制价格,以维持公共消费水平。这项研究的目的是分析米价对贫穷的影响,并绘制印度尼西亚省会城市与贫穷有关的米价变动情况。本研究使用2011 - 2020年印尼34个省会城市的面板数据。数据从印度尼西亚中央统计局收集,并使用面板回归模型和重要绩效分析(IPA)。本研究结果显示,稻米价格对印尼省会城市的贫穷有正面影响。IPA的结果显示,印度尼西亚的大多数省会都位于贫困率低、米价低的地区,以及人口贫困但米价往往高于平均米价的地区。它的结论是,大米极大地影响了印度尼西亚省会城市人民的消费需求。这一发现表明,由于米价变动对贫困人口百分比的增加有很大影响,因此保持米价稳定的重要性。对高粮价地区的大米补贴分配提出建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Effect of Rice Commodity Price Volatility on Provincial Capital Poverty: An Evidence from Indonesia
Poverty is one of the macro problems faced by all countries. These problems have different solutions depending on the character of the poor population in the country. One of the proposed solutions is to control prices so that the level of public consumption is maintained. The purpose of the study was to analyze the effect of rice prices on poverty and to map the condition of rice price movements related to poverty in provincial capitals in Indonesia. This study uses panel data from 34 provincial capitals in Indonesia from 2011 to 2020. The data was collected from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia and uses a panel regression model and important performance analysis (IPA). The results of this study indicated that the price of rice positively affects poverty in provincial capitals in Indonesia. The IPA results show that most provincial capitals in Indonesia are in areas with low poverty rates accompanied by low rice prices and areas with poor people but tend to have high rice prices compared to the average price of rice. It concludes that rice greatly influences the consumption needs of the people of provincial capital cities in Indonesia. This finding shows the importance of maintaining the stability of rice prices due to the large influence of rice price movements on the increase in the percentage of poor people. Suggestions should be given for subsidized rice distribution in areas with high prices.
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