预测变电站的电流，以便安排热成像

2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI:10.1109/PMAPS.2016.7764223

Per Westerlund, P. Hilber, T. Lindquist

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引用次数: 1

摘要

在规划热成像或处理动态额定值时，预测电网线路中的电流是很重要的。本文选取瑞典某变电站10年的数据，运用方差分析(ANOVA)建立线性模型。因子是一天中的时间，一周中的哪一天和周数。数据中大约三分之二的差异可以用模型来解释，但方法太低，无法达到设备额定电流的至少三分之一。因此，该模型不能很好地为所研究的变电所进行热成像规划。然而，该模型能够预测电流，也可用于预测电网中的潮流。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Prediction of current in a substation in order to schedule thermography

It is important to predict the current in a line in the electrical grid for example when planning thermography or handling dynamic rating. This paper takes data from a Swedish substation from 10 years and applies analysis of variance (ANOVA) to construct a linear model. The factors are the time of the day, the day of the week and the week number. About two thirds of the variance in the data can be explained by the model, but the means are too low to attain a current of at least one third of the current for which the equipment is rated. Thus the model is not good enough to plan thermography for the studied bay in the substation. However the model is able to predict the current and can also be used to predict power flows in the electric network.

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2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)

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