基于多元GARCH DCC的伊斯兰公平作为危机下更好选择的实证研究

Syed Aun R. Rizvi, S. Arshad
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引用次数: 38

摘要

风险分担是伊斯兰金融的核心,与现代金融最接近的是股权投资。经过伊斯兰金融几十年的发展,学者们强调股权是最有利的金融机制,而现代股份公司的准Mush rakah和murabah形式也被大多数人接受,但这部分在伊斯兰金融中仍然很小。造成这种情况的原因有很多,主要是厌恶风险和认为股票是风险更高的选择的神话。本文试图利用MGARCH DCC方法,通过研究12年期间伊斯兰指数的波动性和相关性来调查这一神话。这些发现很有希望,表明传统指数和伊斯兰指数之间的移动相关性很低。结果证实了作者的论点,即在危机期间,伊斯兰指数虽然不是完全的,但却是部分的隔离,因此是一个更安全的避风港。这预示着一个巨大的未开发的伊斯兰替代投资途径的勘探。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Study of Islamic Equity as a Better Alternative During Crisis Using Multivariate GARCH DCC
Risk Sharing is the core of the Islamic finance, the closest modern equivalent being equity investments. Through the decades of Islamic Finance development scholars have stressed on equity as the most beneficial financial mechanism while most accept modern joint-stock companies as quasi Mush rakah and Mu rabah forms, but this segment is still small in Islamic finance. Multitude of reasons contributes to it, primarily, the risk averseness and myth of equities as more risky alternate. This paper attempts to investigate this myth utilizing MGARCH DCC method, by studying the volatilities and correlations of Islamic indices over a period of twelve years. The findings are promising, suggesting a low moving correlation between the conventional and Islamic indices. The results substantiate the authors’ argument, that during crisis, Islamic indices provide though not complete, but partial insulation, thus a safer haven. This bodes well for a hugely untapped Islamic alternate investment avenue for exploration.
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