气候变化对植物病害的影响及IPM策略

S. Zayan
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引用次数: 26

摘要

关于气候变化如何可能影响植物病害的主题,已经有了显著的科学成果。气候变化影响植物病害的发生、流行和严重程度。因此,预计的大气和气候变化将以多种方式影响作物与病原体之间的相互作用。这也将影响到疾病管理,包括化学、物理和生物控制措施的时间、偏好和功效,以及它们在病虫害综合管理(IPM)战略中的利用。预测疾病管理的未来需求对农业工业、推广服务和实际农民具有重大意义。对气候变化对疾病控制的潜在影响进行全面分析是困难的,因为目前的知识有限且支离破碎,而且由于植物疾病管理的未来风险很复杂,特别是在一个地区引进新作物的情况下。气候变化下植物病害发展模型的不确定性要求采用多样化的管理策略,从更具参与性的方法到跨学科的科学。来自外部植物病理学的利益相关者和科学家的参与显示了权衡的重要性。所有这些努力和整合将产生有效的作物保护战略,利用新技术作为适应变化的气候条件的适当工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Climate Change on Plant Diseases and IPM Strategies
There has been a remarkable scientific output on the topic of how climate change is likely to affect plant diseases. Climate change influences the occurrence, prevalence, and severity of plant diseases. Projected atmospheric and climate change will thus affect the interaction between crops and pathogens in multiple ways. This will also affect disease management with regard to timing, preference, and efficacy of chemical, physical, and biological measures of control and their utilization within integrated pest management (IPM) strategies. Prediction of future requirements in disease management is of great interest for agro-industries, extension services, and practical farmers. A comprehensive analysis of potential climate change effects on disease control is difficult because current knowledge is limited and fragmented and due to the complexity of future risks for plant disease management, particu-larly if new crops are introduced in an area. Uncertainty in models of plant disease development under climate change calls for a diversity of management strategies, from more participatory approaches to interdisciplinary science. Involvement of stakeholders and scientists from outside plant pathology shows the importance of trade-offs. All these efforts and integrations will produce effective crop protection strategies using novel technologies as appropriate tools to adapt to altered climatic conditions.
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