军费、高技术产品出口与经济增长的关系

S. Sezer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章采用面板数据分析方法,分析了八国集团和新兴工业化国家1988-2015年期间军费开支对高技术出口(HTX)和人均GDP (GDPPC)的影响。采用Dumitrescu和Hurlin检验检验了各系列间的因果关系。在G7国家中,HTX与MEXP之间存在单向因果关系,MEXP与GDPPC之间存在双向因果关系。此外,在NIC国家,HTX与MEXP之间的双向因果关系以及GDPPC与MEXP之间的单向因果关系已经确定。用Pedroni检验检验了协整关系,发现序列是协整的。可以看出,在G7国家中,1988-2015年期间,MEXP增加1%,HTX增加0.71%,GDPPC增加0.98%。在NIC国家,MEXP增加1%,HTX增加1.7%,GDPPC增加0.96%。MEXP对HTX的影响在NIC国家要高得多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Relationship Among Military Expenditure, High Technological Product Exports, and Economic Growth
In this chapter, the effects of military expenditure (MEXP) on high-tech exports (HTX) and GDP per capita (GDPPC) of G7 and new industrialized countries (NIC) are analyzed for period 1988-2015 by panel data analysis. The causality relationships between the series are examined by Dumitrescu and Hurlin test. In G7 countries, one-way causality relationship from HTX to MEXP and two-way causality relationship between MEXP and GDPPC have been identified. Also, in NIC countries, two-way causality relationship between HTX and MEXP and one-way causality relationship from GDPPC to MEXP have been determined. Cointegration relations are tested by Pedroni test and the series are found to be cointegrated. It is seen that in the G7 countries, 1% increase in MEXP during the period of 1988-2015 increased HTX by 0.71% and GDPPC by 0.98%. In NIC countries, the 1% increase in MEXP increased HTX by 1.7% and GDPPC by 0.96%. The effect of MEXP on HTX is found much higher in NIC countries.
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