ESTIMATION OF TECHNOGENIC DANGER RISK OF TECHNICO- ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

Introduction: The risk as an event or set of events, holds a variety of discrete and/or ongoing implementations, each of which has its likelihood of occurrence and the amount of damage. The risk in modern science, culture and society is the summary category as sin, justice, value, meaning, etc. (Ivan Poptchev, Strategies for managing the risk of NBU, Sofia, 2004, p. 5, p. 6) [1]. Under the techno-economic system (TES) is a system of interacting manufacturing engineering (technology) equipment for automation and human operator [2]. The refusal of the FE of the TES is the reason for the technogenic danger (risk), continued throughout the period of technical operation (TO) of the systems [4]. For example, on the aircraft during flight is possible to be denied imposing performance of repair of the service crew, if the refused is not reserved with the FE upright one. In addition, the need to increase the technical resource of aircraft requires the placement of new technological systems (connected in parallel or in sequence of old), compatible with the available standard systems installed by the manufacturer. Similarly, is the State with the TES of a pipeline, the composite FE (units of pipelines) that pass through the village. It should be borne in mind that the maximum level of probability of failure of arbitrary complex TES is 10 -9 , i.e. on a billion connections in nature one of them failed [2].