小型开放经济体货币政策有效性的实证研究

Keyra Primus
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文通过估计带有外生变量的受限向量自回归模型(VARX),检验了巴巴多斯、牙买加和特立尼达和多巴哥使用间接和直接货币政策工具的相对有效性。本研究假设中央银行运用泰勒规则执行货币政策,并评估存款准备金率政策的效果。研究结果表明,政策利率的正向冲击虽然对商业银行利率有直接影响,但对实际变量的传导较弱。此外,提高存款准备金率成功地减少了私人部门的信贷和超额准备金,同时减轻了汇率的压力。因此,研究结果表明,小型开放经济体的中央银行应考虑使用准备金要求作为利率政策的补充,以实现其宏观经济目标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Investigation
This paper examines the relative effectiveness of the use of indirect and direct monetary policy instruments in Barbados, Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago, by estimating a restricted Vector Autoregressive model with Exogenous Variables (VARX). The study assumes that the central bank conducts monetary policy using a Taylor-type rule and it evaluates the effects of a reserve requirement policy. The results show that although a positive shock to the policy interest rate has a direct effect on commercial banks' interest rates, there is a weak transmission to the real variables. Furthermore, an increase in the required reserve ratio is successful in reducing private sector credit and excess reserves, while at the same time alleviating pressures on the exchange rate. The findings therefore indicate that central banks in small open economies should consider using reserve requirements as a complement to interest rate policy, to achieve their macroeconomic objectives.
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