数字化对房地产行业就业的影响:预计会发生重大的结构性变化

ERPN: Employment Impacts (Sub-Topic) Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3498932

D. Piazolo, U. Dogan

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引用次数: 0

摘要

以前关于自动化和工作中断的研究与房地产行业及其特征的关系很少。本研究考察了房地产行业职业的替代潜力，重点是德国房地产行业。由于德国是欧盟最大的经济体，因此对德国房地产市场的见解允许对欧洲进行初步近似。为此，德国联邦就业局的一个包含286个职业的广泛数据库与德国就业研究所的一个数据库相结合，反映了目前的技术能力在多大程度上可以使工作中的任务自动化。本研究遵循Dengler/Matthes(2018)的基于任务的方法，从而计算了房地产行业工作的替代潜力，结果显示，对于286个确定的职业及其各自的任务，通过当前的技术能力，加权平均可以替代47%。这项研究量化了房地产行业数字化对就业杀手的影响程度。然而，数字化也有一个工作动力方面。由于数字化，新的就业机会将会出现。这一贡献表明，由于数字化，房地产行业必须面临结构性变化的程度:每两个房地产工作岗位中就有一个必须重新创造。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Impacts of Digitization on Real Estate Sector Jobs: Significant Structural Change Expected

Previous research on automation and job disruption is only margin-ally related to the real estate industry and its characteristics. This study examines the substitution potential of occupations in the real estate sector, with an emphasis on the German real estate industry.

Since Germany is the largest EU economy insights for the German real estate market allow a first approximation for Europe. For this, an extensive database of the German Federal Employment Agency containing 286 occupations is combined with a database of the German Institute of Employment Research reflecting to what extent tasks within jobs can be automated by current technical capabilities.

This study follows the task-based approach of Dengler/Matthes (2018), thus calculating the substitution potential of jobs in the real estate sector, revealing that for the 286 identified occupations and their respective tasks a weighted average of 47% can be substituted through current technological capabilities.

This research quantifies the magnitude of the job killer aspect of digitization in the real estate sector. However, digitization also has a job motor aspect. Thanks to digitization, new jobs will arise. This contribution indicates the extent of the structural change the real estate sector has to face due to digitization: one out of two real estate jobs will have to be re-created.

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来源期刊

ERPN: Employment Impacts (Sub-Topic)

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