基于时间序列分析的电力负荷聚类模型的SMIB鲁棒模糊控制器设计

Ismit Mado, A. Soeprijanto, Suhartono
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引用次数: 4

摘要

电力系统的动态稳定性分析是电力系统研究中的一个重要问题。本文旨在分析和设计小扰动事件下发电运行系统的控制。这种情况是由于负荷功率波动导致发电机系统输入机械功率的原动机发生变化,使系统变得不稳定。在电力分配分析中,发电机组根据波动功率规律提供电力输出。这种定期提供连续数据的分布系统实际上是在执行一种动态时间序列模型的模式。在统计方法分析中,通过基于平均分布和峰值负荷的聚类方法分析负荷数据的表示。这种模式描述的目的是使控制系统能够预测负载模型的变化,其中每个负载集群代表一个在适当运行条件下的动态系统模型。采用Takagi-Sugeno模糊推理系统(TS-FIS)作为多个软开关控制器,对每个动态模型进行最优控制增益,求解动态模型控制系统。这些可以分布到TS-FIS输出中,以实现发电系统在负荷功率巨大变化时的鲁棒性。在本研究中,聚类分析技术产生了7组数据,间隔为18 MVA。通过TS-FIS作为多重软开关进行鲁棒模糊控制,可以证明由于鲁棒模糊控制积分绝对误差(IAE)优于LQR最优控制IAE,因此发电性能优于线性二次型调节器(LQR)最优控制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Design of robust-fuzzy controller for SMIB based on power-load cluster model with time series analysis
Dynamic stability analysis is one of important issue in electrical power system study. This paper aims to analyze and design the control of power generation operation system in small disturbance events. This condition is affected by changes in the prime mover of mechanical power input in generator system due to power fluctuation in load, so that the system becomes unstable. In the analysis of electrical power distribution, generation unit provides power output based on regulations of fluctuating power. This distribution system that provides continuous data periodically is actually performing a pattern of dynamic time series model. Within the statistical methods analysis, the presentation of load data will be analyzed through clustering method based on the average distribution and peak loads. This kind of pattern description is purposed to enable the control system for anticipating the changes in the load model, where each of load cluster represents one dynamic system model in appropriate operation condition. The solution of dynamic models control systems, performed by Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Inference System (TS-FIS) as multiple soft switching controllers and optimal control gain for each dynamic model. Those can be distributed into TS-FIS outputs, to achieve robustness of power generation system that affected by changes in huge variation of load power. In this study, the cluster analysis technique has produced seven data's groups with interval of 18 MVA. By performing Robust-Fuzzy control through TS-FIS as multiple soft switching, can be proved that the power generating performance is better than using Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) optimal control, since Robust-Fuzzy control Integral Absolute Error (IAE) is better than LQR optimal control IAE.
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