{"title":"利用不确定数据组成的时间序列预测电能消耗","authors":"V. Popov, M. Fedosenko, V. Tkachenko, D. Yatsenko","doi":"10.1109/ESS.2019.8764172","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"A lot of forecasting methods and models have been proposed by researchers for different applications with the main issue to improve their accuracy. Electrical loads and energy consumption forecasting is one of the most important task in power system operation and planning. However, in some cases we need to solve this problem in the absence of reliable and adequate historical data. In this regard paper presents the development of fuzzy time series for electrical energy consumption forecasting. The experimental data of monthly energy consumption is used to demonstrate the model's effectiveness.","PeriodicalId":187043,"journal":{"name":"2019 IEEE 6th International Conference on Energy Smart Systems (ESS)","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"10","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Forecasting Consumption of Electrical Energy Using Time Series Comprised of Uncertain Data\",\"authors\":\"V. Popov, M. Fedosenko, V. Tkachenko, D. Yatsenko\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ESS.2019.8764172\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"A lot of forecasting methods and models have been proposed by researchers for different applications with the main issue to improve their accuracy. Electrical loads and energy consumption forecasting is one of the most important task in power system operation and planning. However, in some cases we need to solve this problem in the absence of reliable and adequate historical data. In this regard paper presents the development of fuzzy time series for electrical energy consumption forecasting. The experimental data of monthly energy consumption is used to demonstrate the model's effectiveness.\",\"PeriodicalId\":187043,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2019 IEEE 6th International Conference on Energy Smart Systems (ESS)\",\"volume\":\"19 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"10\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2019 IEEE 6th International Conference on Energy Smart Systems (ESS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ESS.2019.8764172\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2019 IEEE 6th International Conference on Energy Smart Systems (ESS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ESS.2019.8764172","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Forecasting Consumption of Electrical Energy Using Time Series Comprised of Uncertain Data
A lot of forecasting methods and models have been proposed by researchers for different applications with the main issue to improve their accuracy. Electrical loads and energy consumption forecasting is one of the most important task in power system operation and planning. However, in some cases we need to solve this problem in the absence of reliable and adequate historical data. In this regard paper presents the development of fuzzy time series for electrical energy consumption forecasting. The experimental data of monthly energy consumption is used to demonstrate the model's effectiveness.