利用不确定数据组成的时间序列预测电能消耗

V. Popov, M. Fedosenko, V. Tkachenko, D. Yatsenko
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引用次数: 10

摘要

研究人员针对不同的应用提出了许多预测方法和模型,其主要问题是如何提高预测方法和模型的准确性。电力负荷和能耗预测是电力系统运行规划的重要内容之一。然而,在某些情况下,我们需要在缺乏可靠和充分的历史数据的情况下解决这个问题。本文介绍了模糊时间序列在电力消费预测中的发展。以月能耗的实验数据验证了模型的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting Consumption of Electrical Energy Using Time Series Comprised of Uncertain Data
A lot of forecasting methods and models have been proposed by researchers for different applications with the main issue to improve their accuracy. Electrical loads and energy consumption forecasting is one of the most important task in power system operation and planning. However, in some cases we need to solve this problem in the absence of reliable and adequate historical data. In this regard paper presents the development of fuzzy time series for electrical energy consumption forecasting. The experimental data of monthly energy consumption is used to demonstrate the model's effectiveness.
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