道路交通事故预测方法综述

Shunshun Wang, Changshun Yan, Shao Yong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市交通的不断发展和城市化进程的加快,交通事故已成为关系城市安全和社会稳定的重要问题。为了预防和减少交通事故的发生,交通事故预测技术逐渐成为研究的热点。本文从相关英文期刊文章中对道路交通事故预测技术进行了分析,并对现有的道路交通事故预测技术进行了详细介绍。本文介绍了交通事故预测技术的研究现状,包括传统的统计分析方法、机器学习方法、神经网络方法、时间序列分析方法和基于时空数据挖掘的技术,并分析了各种道路交通事故预测方法的优缺点。这些方法能够分析交通事故的影响因素,建立预测模型,提高预测精度,为城市交通安全的道路交通事故预防效果提供有力支持。最后讨论了道路交通事故预测面临的主要困难和未来道路交通事故预测的发展趋势。本文所做的工作可以为相关研究者提供必要的理论支持,也节省了查阅文献所需的时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Review of Road Traffic Accident Prediction Methods
: With the continuous development of urban traffic and the acceleration of urbanization, traffic accidents have become an important issue for urban safety and social stability. In order to prevent and reduce the occurrence of traffic accidents, traffic accident prediction technology has gradually become a hot spot for research. This paper analyzes road traffic accident prediction techniques from articles included in relevant English journals and provides a detailed introduction to the road traffic accident prediction techniques that are already in existence. This paper introduces the current status of research on traffic accident prediction techniques, including traditional statistical analysis methods, machine learning methods, neural network methods, time series analysis methods and techniques based on spatio-temporal data mining, and analyses the advantages and disadvantages of each road traffic accident prediction method. These methods are able to analyse the influencing factors of traffic accidents, build prediction models, improve prediction accuracy and provide strong support for road traffic accident prevention effects for urban traffic safety. Finally, the main difficulties faced in road traffic accident prediction and the future development trend of road traffic accident prediction is discussed. The work done in this paper can provide necessary theoretical support for relevant researchers and save the time needed for literature review.
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