最新的电价预测技术

Guang Li, Chen-Ching Liu, J. Lawarree, M. Gallanti, Andrea Venturini
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引用次数: 56

摘要

自电力行业放松管制以来,人们发展了许多方法和技术来预测竞争环境下的电价。本文对电价预测的不同方法进行了分类和比较。这些信息是根据技术目标、范围、时间范围、输入数据和准确性水平进行总结的。电价预测的方法和技术分为均衡分析、模拟方法、时间序列、计量经济学方法、智能系统和波动分析
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
State-of-the-art of electricity price forecasting
Since the deregulation of the electricity power industry, many methods and techniques have been developed to forecast the electricity prices in the competitive environment. This paper classifies and compares different techniques in the literature of electricity price forecasting. The information is summarized based on the technical objectives, scope, time horizon, input data and the level of accuracy. The methods and techniques for electricity price forecasting are categorized into equilibrium analysis, simulation methods, time series, econometric methods, intelligent systems, and volatility analysis
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