敌人、朋友还是冷漠的玩家?评估巴西和俄罗斯之间的国家能源战略和可能的合作议程

B. Jubran, V. Jeifets
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摘要

本文旨在分析巴西和俄罗斯这两个金砖国家在能源问题上的实际和潜在合作。能源安全在当代文明建设中的核心地位,使其在全球事务和国家战略中发挥重要作用。虽然能源对国际关系和特定国家的外交政策也至关重要,但在巴西与俄罗斯的关系中,这个话题仍然很不发达。这一矛盾是本文提出的主要问题。对于这个问题有两种主要的解释。第一个问题意味着巴西和俄罗斯之间的合作受到阻碍,原因是能源领域的法律基础薄弱,以及两国政府对商业环境的持续干预。第二种理由是,两国据称没有共同的利益,甚至在彼此的或第三方市场上没有竞争对手,因为它们一直是全球市场上的能源供应国。我们将提出第三个论点,即即使前面的论点是有效的,也不应低估其他参与者- -无论是外国政府还是私营企业- -的作用,以了解双边关系中可能出现的限制和挫折,特别是在能源问题上。此外,在能源政策和安全方面缺乏清晰度和定义可能比政府不断干预更有说服力,尤其是在巴西,在较小程度上,俄罗斯也是如此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foes, friends or indifferent players? Assessing national energy strategies and possible agenda for cooperation between Brazil and Russia
This article aims at analyzing the actual and potential cooperation between Brazil and Russia — two BRICS countries — in energy issues. Addressing energy security in global affairs and national strategies is quite obvious due to its centrality in shaping contemporary civilization. While energy is also vital for International Relations and for the foreign policy of particular countries, the topic remains quite underdeveloped in Brazil-Russia relations. This contradiction is the main problem raised in the article. There are two main lines of explanation for that question. The first one implies that cooperation between Brazil and Russia is hindered due to poor legal foundations in the energy sector and constant government interference in the business environment in both nations. The second rationale states that both nations allegedly do not share similar interests, or even behave as competitors in each other’s or third markets, as they have been suppliers of energy in the global market. We shall advance the third line of argumentation, which contends that even if previous arguments are valid, the role of other players — either foreign governments or private enterprises — should not be underrated to un-derstand possible limitations and setbacks in bilateral relations, in particular in energy matters. Moreover, lack of clarity and definition in energy policy and security is perhaps more convinc-ing than constant government interference, especially in Brazil, and to a lesser extent, Russia.
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