{"title":"经济增长、能源消费与二氧化碳排放的实证关系:来自东盟国家的证据","authors":"Seemab Gillani, Baserat Sultana","doi":"10.52131/jee.2020.0102.0008","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study tested the EKC (environment Kuznets curve) framework for selected 9 ASEAN countries of the time period of 1970-2019. The EKC framework hypothesis checked under 2 linkages, first one is to examine the relationship between energy consumption, GDP and CO2 and the other one is energy consumption, GDP square and CO2. The study examines both long and short run effect of energy consumption, GDP, square of GDP on carbon emission. Firstly, used Levin Lin Chu and Lm Pasaran panel unit root test to check the order of integration of indicators further for short and long run estimates are examined by panel Auto Regressive Distributive lag (ARDL / PMG). Results of LLC, Lm Pesaran, reveals that the variables have mixed integration order. Due to the mixed order of integration, PMG results showed a rise in energy consumption by 1%, caused a rise in emissions by 0.8377%. Carbon emission (CO2) decreased by 0.1622%, by increase the square of economic growth while increasing economic growth by 1%, leading to boosts carbon emissions by 2.05%. The negative and positive effect of GDP and square of economic growth approve the EKC theory. Furthermore, this study suggests that to maintain sustainable economic expansion goals policy makers ensure the use of sustainable energy sources (renewable energy) to maximize growth of country and minimize carbon emission. It results carbon sequestration, protect green environment and safe lives.","PeriodicalId":240042,"journal":{"name":"iRASD Journal of Energy & Environment","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"8","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Empirical Relationship between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions: Evidence from ASEAN Countries\",\"authors\":\"Seemab Gillani, Baserat Sultana\",\"doi\":\"10.52131/jee.2020.0102.0008\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study tested the EKC (environment Kuznets curve) framework for selected 9 ASEAN countries of the time period of 1970-2019. The EKC framework hypothesis checked under 2 linkages, first one is to examine the relationship between energy consumption, GDP and CO2 and the other one is energy consumption, GDP square and CO2. The study examines both long and short run effect of energy consumption, GDP, square of GDP on carbon emission. Firstly, used Levin Lin Chu and Lm Pasaran panel unit root test to check the order of integration of indicators further for short and long run estimates are examined by panel Auto Regressive Distributive lag (ARDL / PMG). Results of LLC, Lm Pesaran, reveals that the variables have mixed integration order. Due to the mixed order of integration, PMG results showed a rise in energy consumption by 1%, caused a rise in emissions by 0.8377%. Carbon emission (CO2) decreased by 0.1622%, by increase the square of economic growth while increasing economic growth by 1%, leading to boosts carbon emissions by 2.05%. The negative and positive effect of GDP and square of economic growth approve the EKC theory. Furthermore, this study suggests that to maintain sustainable economic expansion goals policy makers ensure the use of sustainable energy sources (renewable energy) to maximize growth of country and minimize carbon emission. It results carbon sequestration, protect green environment and safe lives.\",\"PeriodicalId\":240042,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"iRASD Journal of Energy & Environment\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"8\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"iRASD Journal of Energy & Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.52131/jee.2020.0102.0008\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"iRASD Journal of Energy & Environment","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.52131/jee.2020.0102.0008","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
摘要
本研究选取1970-2019年9个东盟国家为样本,对EKC(环境库兹涅茨曲线)框架进行了检验。EKC框架假设在两个联系下进行检验,一个是检验能源消耗、GDP和CO2之间的关系,另一个是检验能源消耗、GDP平方和CO2之间的关系。研究考察了能源消耗、GDP、GDP平方对碳排放的长期和短期影响。首先,采用Levin Lin Chu和Lm Pasaran的面板单位根检验进一步检验指标的整合顺序,对短期和长期估计采用面板自回归分布滞后(ARDL / PMG)检验。LLC, Lm Pesaran的结果表明,变量的积分顺序是混合的。由于混合的整合顺序,PMG结果显示能源消耗增加1%,导致排放量增加0.8377%。碳排放(CO2)减少0.1622%,通过增加经济增长的平方,而经济增长每增加1%,导致碳排放增加2.05%。GDP和经济增长平方的负、正作用验证了EKC理论。此外,为了维持可持续的经济扩张目标,政策制定者应确保可持续能源(可再生能源)的使用,以实现国家经济增长最大化和碳排放最小化。起到固碳、保护绿色环境、保障生命安全的作用。
Empirical Relationship between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions: Evidence from ASEAN Countries
This study tested the EKC (environment Kuznets curve) framework for selected 9 ASEAN countries of the time period of 1970-2019. The EKC framework hypothesis checked under 2 linkages, first one is to examine the relationship between energy consumption, GDP and CO2 and the other one is energy consumption, GDP square and CO2. The study examines both long and short run effect of energy consumption, GDP, square of GDP on carbon emission. Firstly, used Levin Lin Chu and Lm Pasaran panel unit root test to check the order of integration of indicators further for short and long run estimates are examined by panel Auto Regressive Distributive lag (ARDL / PMG). Results of LLC, Lm Pesaran, reveals that the variables have mixed integration order. Due to the mixed order of integration, PMG results showed a rise in energy consumption by 1%, caused a rise in emissions by 0.8377%. Carbon emission (CO2) decreased by 0.1622%, by increase the square of economic growth while increasing economic growth by 1%, leading to boosts carbon emissions by 2.05%. The negative and positive effect of GDP and square of economic growth approve the EKC theory. Furthermore, this study suggests that to maintain sustainable economic expansion goals policy makers ensure the use of sustainable energy sources (renewable energy) to maximize growth of country and minimize carbon emission. It results carbon sequestration, protect green environment and safe lives.