基于全球价值链的中美制造业贸易失衡分析

Feiting Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于世界投入产出数据库(WIOD)的国家间投入产出表(ICIO)数据,从全球价值链的角度,对中美不同技术制造业的出口进行完全分解,计算贸易收益。结论是,制造业回归美国偏离了经济学逻辑,美国生产的制成品成本上升,消费者购买力下降,那么就会阻碍经济增长。美国政府批评中国的真正目的是与中国讨价还价。货物贸易逆差的存量在短期内无法改变,但中国可以从增量数量上寻求突破,参与高技术和知识密集型的生产、加工和服务流程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Based on Global Value Chain to analyze the Sino-US Trade Imbalance in Manufacturing Industry
Based on the data of Inter-Country Input-Output Tables (ICIO) from the world input-output database (WIOD), with the perspective of global value chain, Sino-US exports on different technology manufacturing industry are completely decomposed to calculate trade gains. The conclusion is that manufacturing industry coming back to the United states deviated from the logic of economics, and the costs of manufactured goods produced in the United states is rising, consumer purchasing power is decline, then it will stunt economic growth. The real purpose of the United states government criticizes China is to bargain with China. The stock of the goods trade deficit cannot be changed in the short term, but China can seek a breakthrough from the incremental quantity, to participate in high technology and knowledge intensive production, process and service procedure.
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