全球发展范式的转型——以一体化协会为例

Karine Khojayan
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摘要

本文以政府间区域组织作为当代国际关系的主要参与者之一,分析了全球发展范式的转变问题。在当前范式的框架内,从雅尔塔-波茨坦国际关系体系建立的时期开始,研究了国际区域机构之间对抗的动态,以及两极世界秩序崩溃后这种动态的变化。鉴于新开发银行和亚洲基础设施投资银行等新的区域行为体的出现,本文触及了国际货币和金融体系转型的持续趋势。目前正在考虑将这些机构作为布雷顿森林机构,特别是国际货币基金组织和世界银行集团的替代办法。值得一提的是,在大欧亚地区建立的各种各样的一体化形式,都有机会在不断变化的多极世界秩序中扮演新兴一极的角色。这条道路的基石被认为是欧亚经济联盟与中华人民共和国(PRC)之间的关系,主要是在中国实施“一带一路”倡议的背景下。此外,旨在为波罗的海国家和印度之间提供物流连接的南北国际运输走廊的进一步实施,以及中国创建丝绸之路经济带的倡议,与2016年俄罗斯联邦总统在圣彼得堡国际经济论坛上宣布的全面欧亚伙伴关系的更广泛概念和谐一致。目前,大欧亚地区正在进行的区域间合作,特别是以欧亚经济联盟(EAEU) -上海合作组织(SCO) -东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)形式发展的合作,以及欧亚经济联盟关于在2025年前与第三国建立自由贸易区的战略计划,都有机会为现有的区域一体化形式创造替代方案。这个计划中的项目首先取决于参与各方的政治意愿,它的成功完成将为一个正在转变的新世界秩序奠定坚实的基础。它将完全不同于新自由主义世界秩序的现有范式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
TRANSFORMATION OF THE GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT PARADIGM ON THE EXAMPLE OF INTEGRATION ASSOCIATIONS
The article analyzes the issue of transformation of the global development paradigm on the example of intergovernmental regional organizations, as one of the main actors of contemporary international relations. Within the framework of the current paradigm, starting from the period when the Yalta-Potsdam system of international relations was established, the dynamics of confrontations between international regional institutions, the change in this dynamics followed by collapse of the bipolar world order, are studied. The article touches upon the ongoing trends of transformation of the international monetary and financial system in the light of the emergence of new regional actors such as New Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. These institutions are being considered as alternatives to the Bretton Woods institutions, particularly to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group. It’s important to mention that the large variety of integration formats, established in the Great Eurasian area, have all chances to claim to the role of emerging pole in the transforming multipolar world order. The cornerstone on this path is considered to be relationship between the Eurasian Economic Union and the People's Republic of China (PRC) mainly in the context of the implementation of the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative. Moreover, further implementation of the North-South international transport corridor, designed to provide a logistic connection between the Baltic countries and India, together with the PRC’s initiative to create Silk Road Economic Belt, harmoniously fit into the broader concept of Comprehensive Eurasian Partnership, announced by the President of the Russian Federation in 2016 during St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. Today the ongoing interregional cooperation in the Great Eurasian area, developing especially in the format of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) - Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) - Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), as well as the strategic plans of the EAEU on establishment of free trade zones with third countries before 2025, have all chances to create alternative solutions to the existing regional integration formats. The successful completion of the planned project, which, first of all, depends on the political will of the participating parties, will allow to lay a solid foundation for a transforming new world order. It will completely differ from the existing paradigm of the neoliberal world order.
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