混合成员比例与忠实会计

E. Stensholt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据目前(2021年)的计票规则,联邦议院的席位数量极不稳定。2017年,它获得了709个席位,其中111个是特别席位。这些规则可能会使拆分选票的选民的影响力加倍,这与平等影响力的目标背道而驰;随之而来的是装配规模的增加。这篇论文解释了这种情况何时以及如何发生。选票上过去时间和现在时间的组合是现在被忽略的信息;计票结果就好像他们是在不同的投票箱里收集的一样。忠实的会计核算需要这些信息,但有充分的理由预计,它将把2017年的议会规模减少到《联邦选举法》规定的普通598个席位。按照现行规则计算2017年的选票,但基民盟作为一个公认的联盟,将减少41个席位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mixed Member Proportional with Faithful Accounting
With present (2021) tally rules, the number of seats in the Bundestag is highly volatile. In 2017 it got 709 seats, 111 of them extra-ordinary. The rules may double the influence of a voter who splits the ballot, contrary to a goal of equal influence; increased assembly size is a concomitant. The paper explains when and how this happens.

A ballot’s combination of Erststimme and Zweitstimme is information now ignored; the tally is as if they were collected in separate ballot boxes. Faithful accounting requires this information, but there is strong reason to expect it will reduce the 2017 assembly size to the ordinary 598 seats stated in the Federal Elections Act. Tallying 2017 votes with the present rules, but with CDU&CSU as a recognized coalition, reduces the size by 41 seats.
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