好的理论预测:揭示“必然性”理论尚未开发的潜力

W. Lee, Lu Lu
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摘要

在本文中,我们试图引入因果关系的必然性逻辑概念,尽管它在简洁和预测准确性方面具有固有的优点,但尚未得到足够的重视。我们的论文首先提供了各种因果逻辑的全面审查,包括充分性,必要性和贡献性。然后,我们批判性地检查必要因果关系的关键假设(即,非加和性,决定论和不对称),并强调必要因果关系在理论创新中的好处。此外,我们还对必要性理论测试的方法协议进行了研讨。随后,我们通过借鉴概念-语境理论,探索将必要性理论整合到酒店和旅游领域的潜力,从而发展“本土”理论。我们还认为,跨学科研究中必要的因果关系可以促进与邻近领域更广泛的知识交流。最后,我们确定了有前途的研究领域,需要在酒店和旅游研究中进行理论和测试。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Good Theories Predict: Unveiling the Untapped Potential of “Necessity” Theorizing
In this paper, we seek to introduce the concept of necessity logic of causality, which, despite its inherent merits in parsimony and predictive accuracy, has not received adequate attention. Our paper begins by providing a comprehensive review of various causal logic, including sufficiency, necessity, and contributory. We then critically examine the key assumptions of necessary causation (i.e., non-additivity, determinism, and asymmetry), and highlight the benefits of necessary causalities in theoretical innovation. Also, we workshop methodological protocols for necessity theory testing. Subsequently, we explore the potential of integrating necessity theories in the hospitality and tourism field by drawing on conceptual-contextual theorizing, leading to the development of “homegrown” theories. We also contend that necessary causality in transdisciplinary research can facilitate broader knowledge exchange to neighboring domains. We conclude by identifying promising research areas for necessity theorizing and testing in hospitality and tourism research.
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