房屋净值清算能降低老年人的贫困率吗?来自韩国的证据

In-hong Baek, Sanha Noh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们能在不考虑资产的情况下确定65岁及以上人口的贫困水平吗?如果老年人的资产被清算,我们能在多大程度上降低他们的贫困率?为了回答这些问题,我们使用一种适用于公共反向抵押贷款计划的精算方法,将住宅物业考虑在内,相对调查老年人的贫困率。我们使用了统计厅的家庭财务及生活状况调查和配偶资料合并而成的独特数据。我们发现,公共反向抵押贷款计划使65岁及以上人口的可支配收入平均增加了约20%,而且这种改善在低收入五分之一的人群中更为有效。由于反向抵押贷款增加了收入,老年人的贫困率大幅下降至31%左右,而在没有清算房屋净值的情况下,贫困率为41%。因此,按照经合组织标准计算的老年人贫困率可能高估了65岁及以上老年人的贫困率,误导了福利政策的方向,滥用了政府对老年人的预算。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Home Equity Liquidation Reduce the Poverty Rate of Older Adults? Evidence from South Korea
Can we determine the poverty levels of the population aged 65 and over without considering their assets? How much can we reduce poverty rates among older adults if their assets are liquidated? To answer these questions, we investigate poverty rates among older adults relatively by taking residential property into account using an actuarial method applied to a public reverse mortgage program. We use unique data collated by merging the Survey of Household Finances and Living Conditions by Statistics Korea and data on spouse information. We find that public reverse mortgage programs increase disposable income by approximately 20% on average for the population aged 65 and over, and the improvement is more effective in the low-income quintiles. Due to the income enhancement from reverse mortgages, poverty rates among older adults reduce significantly to about 31%, while it is 41% without the liquation of home equity. Therefore, the current poverty rate among older adults following the OECD standard may overestimate the poverty rate for people aged 65 and over and misguides the direction of welfare policies, and misuses government budgets for older adults.
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