用网络结构模型增强社区弹性

M. Zhong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

群落恢复力是描述人类生境系统对灾害反应的关键指标。提高社区抗洪能力需要建立指标识别和测量体系,特别是洪水风险管理。本文将模糊德尔菲法(FDM)与解释结构模型(ISM)相结合,提出了一个衡量社区抗洪能力的高级指标框架。在对社区弹性定义的基础上,将指标分为环境因素、社会因素、经济因素、心理因素、制度因素和信息沟通因素6个维度。利用FDM建立了简化的社区抗洪能力评价指标体系,确定了社区抗洪能力的层次网络结构,并对直接影响指标和根本影响指标进行了分析。本研究提出的框架有助于跨学科理解社区对洪水灾害的复原力,并有助于构建更具复原力的社区;预计还将扩大到减少其他自然灾害的风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Enhancing the Community Resilience with a Network Structuring Model
Community resilience is a key index for describing the response of human habitat system against hazards. Enhancing the community resilience to flood disaster requires indicator identification and measurement system establishment, especially for flooding risk management. In this study, an advanced index framework for measuring community resilience to flood disaster is proposed integrating fuzzy Delphi method (FDM) and interpretative structural model (ISM). Based on the definition of community resilience, the indicators are classified into six dimensions, including environmental factors, social factors, economic factors, psychological factors, institutional factors, and information and communication factors. A simplified community resilience evaluation index system is established by using FDM, and the hierarchical network structure of the community resilience to flood disasters is confirmed, in which the direct influence indicators and the root influence indicators are analyzed. The proposed framework in this study contributes to the interdisciplinary understanding of community resilience to flooding disasters and building a more resilience community; it is also expected to be extended for risk reduction in other natural hazards.
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