农村青少年投票意向的影响因素分析

Esa Nb, Hashim Rb
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引用次数: 1

摘要

自新千年以来,马来西亚21至22岁青年的大选登记率和投票率一直很低,令人沮丧,尤其是在非城市地区。由于青年人数在马来西亚人口中占很大比例,为了赢得选举,必须把符合条件的青年作为各政党的目标。此外,青年对国家政治的参与对马来西亚政府和行政的方向和发展产生了影响。因此,本研究的目的是找出影响农村青年下次大选投票意愿的因素。本研究采用定量设计,横断面调查。通过分层抽样技术确定了分析单元。在400个样本量(n=400)中,回收率为370或92.5%。研究发现,影响青年在下届大选中投票的四个因素之间存在显著的关系;意识、说服方法、空间表征与政治投票选择。回归分析认为,意识是影响年轻人投票意向的最重要因素。研究还发现,在四个影响因素中,性别的调节作用最为显著。调查结果表明,如果定期进行宣传,提高农村青年的意识,将会加强他们在下届议会选举中的投票意愿。因此,相关利益相关者在为自己的政党竞选时应该注意到这一点。除此之外,这些发现为年轻一代的政治倾向的知识体系提供了额外的文献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying the Influence Factors on the Intention to Vote among Youths in Rural Areas
Ever since the new millennium, registration rates and voter turnouts for the general elections among Malaysian youths between the age range of 21 and 22 years have been low and dismaying, particularly so in non-urban locations. With the number of youths forming a significant percentage of Malaysia’s population, targeting eligible youths for the various political parties is imperative in winning the elections. Furthermore, youth participation and engagement in national politics have been impactful in the direction and development of Malaysia’s government and administration. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify the influence factors on the intention to vote in the next general election among youths in rural areas. The study was conducted using a quantitative design, crosssectional survey. The unit of analysis was identified through stratified sampling technique. From a sample size of 400 (n=400), the returned rate was 370 or 92.5%. The findings revealed that there was a significant relationship between the factors of youth’s to vote in the next general election based on four variables; awareness, persuading method, spatial representation, and political vote choice. The regression analysis ranked awareness as the most influential factor in the youths’ intentions to vote. The study also found that the moderating role of gender is the most significant factor among the four influence factors. The findings suggest that the rural youths’ intentions to vote in the next general election would be intensified if regular promotions are done to enhance awareness. Therefore, the relevant stakeholders should take note of this when campaigning for their party. Aside from that, the findings provide additional literature to the body of knowledge on the political inclination of the younger generation.
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