发展中国家的美国经济学家:马里恩·克劳森与以色列农业政策,1953-1955

Daniel Schiffman, E. Goldstein
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1953-1955年期间,美国农业经济学家Marion Clawson作为经济顾问小组(EAS)的成员为以色列政府提供咨询。EAS是由以色列总理David Ben-Gurion邀请的一群美国经济学家组成。克劳森是约翰·d·布莱克和莫迪凯·以西结的父亲,曾任美国土地管理局局长(1948年至1953年)。克劳森发现以色列的农业和灌溉效率极低,规划几乎完全忽略了经济考虑。在50份政策备忘录中,他公开批评以色列的农业政策,并指出以色列的国家目标——国防、内盖夫沙漠的全面灌溉、通过新的农业定居点吸收移民和经济独立——是相互矛盾的。他的主要建议是:通过降低预期农产品价格,使以色列的农业计划更加现实;结束昂贵的内盖夫灌溉;将灌溉农场规模扩大8倍;冻结新的定居点,直到半发达定居点的数量从300个减少到100个;并在5-7年内将内盖夫的新定居点限制在10个。财政部长Levi Eshkol和农业部长Peretz Naphtali强烈拒绝了Clawson的建议,理由是这些建议是基于纯粹的经济观点,没有考虑以色列的国家目标。到1954年9月,克劳森转向了一种更加务实的方式:他缓和了自己的批评,并寻求与农业部(MOA)达成共识。不久之后,他提议与MOA合作撰写一份全面的报告,该报告将以《以色列农业1953/54》(IA)为名出版。IA是一份共识文件:它提出了事实,提出了问题,但没有规定政策。在IA中,克劳森承认印度政府可能会优先考虑非经济目标而不是经济效率。克劳森在提议将IA作为一个合作项目时,做出了一个务实的决定:放弃一些独立性,以便有机会发挥更大的影响力。我们得出的结论是:a. Clawson作为顾问只是取得了一定程度的成功,因为MOA认真考虑了他的建议,而Eshkol却没有(他相信自己的专业知识);虽然克劳森的建议非常有见地,但事后看来,他对农产品价格过于悲观,最重要的是,对内盖夫的农业潜力过于悲观。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An American Economist in a Developmental State: Marion Clawson and Israeli Agricultural Policy, 1953-1955
During 1953-1955, the American agricultural economist Marion Clawson advised the Government of Israel (GOI) as a member of the Economic Advisory Staff (EAS), a group of American economists invited by Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion. Clawson, a protégé of John D. Black and Mordecai Ezekiel, was formerly Director of the US Bureau of Land Management (1948-1953). Clawson discovered that Israeli agriculture and irrigation were highly inefficient, and that planning almost completely ignored economic considerations. In 50 policy memoranda, he openly criticized Israel’s agricultural policy, and stated that Israel’s national goals—defense, full irrigation of the Negev desert, immigrant absorption via new agricultural settlements, and economic independence—were mutually contradictory. His major recommendations were: make Israel’s agricultural plan more realistic by reducing projected agricultural prices; end expensive Negev irrigation; increase irrigated farm size eightfold; freeze new settlements until the number of semi-developed settlements falls from 300 to 100; and limit new Negev settlements to 10 over 5-7 years. Minister of Finance Levi Eshkol and Minister of Agriculture Peretz Naphtali vehemently rejected Clawson’s recommendations, on the grounds that they were based on a pure economic perspective, with no consideration of Israel’s national goals. By September 1954, Clawson shifted to a more pragmatic approach: He toned down his criticism and sought common ground with the Ministry of Agriculture (MOA). Soon afterwards, he proposed to write a comprehensive report in collaboration with the MOA, which would be published as Israel Agriculture 1953/54 (IA). IA was a consensus document: It presented facts and asked questions, but did not prescribe policies. In IA, Clawson accepted that the GOI would likely prioritize noneconomic goals over economic efficiency. In proposing IA as a collaborative project, Clawson made a pragmatic decision to relinquish some independence for a chance to exert greater influence. We conclude that a. Clawson was only somewhat successful as an advisor, because his recommendations were considered seriously by the MOA but not by Eshkol (who trusted his own expertise); b. Although Clawson’s advice was highly insightful, in hindsight he was overly pessimistic regarding agricultural prices, and, most importantly, the Negev’s agricultural potential.
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