Altman Z-Score方法对财务困境的影响分析

Etty Puji lestari, Fatia Fatimah, D. Sunaryo
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摘要

本研究旨在通过自变量WCTA、RETA、EBITTA、MVETL和STA对因变量财务困境的影响来确定Altman z-score方法对财务困境的影响。2016-2020年期间在印尼证券交易所上市的制造业公司。根据前面描述的研究结果,可以得出结论:在计算研究年度的Altman z-score方法时,公司被分类为:Safe: CTRA公司研究3年,Gray Area: SQBB公司研究5年,Financial distress: BTEK和AISA公司研究3年。营运资本与总资产之比(WCTA)对财务困境有显著影响。留存收益与总资产比率(RETA)对财务困境没有显著影响。息税前收益与总资产的比率(EBITTA)对财务困境有重要影响。股权与总负债的市场价值比率(MVETL)对财务困境没有显著影响。销售与总资产比率(STA)对财务困境有显著影响。建议公司保持财务比率(WCTA, RETA, EBTTA, MVETL和STA),以便公司避免破产,并且仍然可以努力改善财务比率(WCTA, EBITTA和STA),这些比率基于研究,对财务困境有重大影响。为研究人员能够进一步开展类似于破产风险等财务困境的研究,以及对财务比率的分析,可以扩大做得更好。在这种情况下,它不仅是食品和饮料行业公司的类型,而且是其他类型的工业公司。后续研究可以使用五年以上的时间,以便为进一步研究提供有用的比较基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis Of The Effect Of The Altman Z-Score Method On Financial Distress
This study aims to determine the effect of the Altman z-score method on financial distress with the independent variables namely WCTA, RETA, EBITTA, MVETL, and STA on the dependent variable, namely Financial Distress. In manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2020. Based on the research results that have been described previously, it can be concluded that:In calculating the Altman z-score method in the research year the company is categorized: Safe : CTRA company for 3 years of research, Gray Area : SQBB company for 5 years research, Financial distress: BTEK and AISA companies for 3 years of research. The ratio of Working Capital to Total Assets (WCTA) has a significant effect on Financial Distress. The ratio of Retained Earnings to Total Assets (RETA) has no significant effect on Financial Distress. The ratio of Earnings Before Interest and Taxes to Total Assets (EBITTA) has a significant effect on Financial Distress. The Market Value of Equity to Total Liability (MVETL) ratio has no significant effect on Financial Distress.Ratio of Sales to Total Assets (STA) has a significant effect on Financial Distress. Recommendations for companies to maintain financial ratios (WCTA, RETA, EBTTA, MVETL, and STA) so that companies avoid bankruptcy and can still strive to create improvements to financial ratios (WCTA, EBITTA, and STA) based on research these ratios have a significant effect to financial distress. For researchers to be able to further develop research similar to financial distress such as bankruptcy risk, as well as analysis of financial ratios that can be expanded to do better. In this case, it is not only the types of food and beverage industry companies, but also other types of industrial companies. Subsequent research can use a period of more than five years so that it is expected to be a useful comparison basis for further research.
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