作为第聂伯河跨界冲突的克里米亚运河问题

A. Degterev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

北克里米亚运河被认为是第聂伯河的延续。这使得在2014年可以将其重叠分析为与部分或完全限制中下游流量相关的跨界用水经典问题之一。作为一个类似的例子,土耳其和叙利亚之间关于幼发拉底河水资源的冲突被考虑在内。研究表明,这种跨界冲突往往是由经济原因引起的,并与某些年份由于气候日益干旱而导致的径流减少有关。本文提出了各方互动的博弈论模型,并证实了参与跨境争端的国家之间赔偿的必要性。根据本文进行的分析结果,得出的结论是,卡克霍夫斯基水库大坝可能遭到破坏的后果之一将是停止向北克里米亚运河供水。事实是,在200多公里的第一段,水库的水通过重力流入通道,当取水点的水位下降16米时,通道的填充将停止。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Problem of the North Crimea Canal as a Cross-Border Conflict on the Dnieper River
The North Crimean Canal is considered as a continuation of the Dnieper River. This makes it possible to analyze its overlap in 2014 as one of the classic problems of transboundary water use associated with partial or complete restriction of flow in the middle or lower reaches of the river. As a similar example, the conflict between Turkey and Syria over the water resources of the Euphrates River is considered. It is shown that such cross-border conflicts are often caused by both economic reasons and arise in connection with a decrease in runoff in some years due to increased aridity of the climate. This article presents game-theoretic models of interaction between the parties and substantiates the need for compensation payments between the countries participating in a cross-border dispute. Based on the results of the analysis carried out in this article, it was concluded that one of the consequences of the possible destruction of the dam of the Kakhovsky reservoir will be the cessation of water supply to the North Crimean Canal. The fact is that in the first section with a length of more than 200 km, water from the reservoir flows into the channel by gravity, so that when the level drops at the water intake point by 16 m, the filling of the channel will stop.
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