债务偿还承诺:来自自然实验的证据

E. Vihriälä
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文记录了对强制性债务偿还的广泛承诺。在一项自然实验中,家庭可以申请一到十二个月的免费抵押贷款支付灵活性,43%的申请人选择了短期灵活性的主导选项。我认为,由于自我控制问题,短期灵活性满足了部分承诺的愿望,因为(I)申请短期灵活性与其他承诺策略相关,以增加储蓄;(ii)在灵活性的可预测末端,消费不连续地下降。这种对承诺的渴望会降低经济衰退期间债务减免的效力,并导致资产流动性不足。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Commitment to Debt Repayment: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
This paper documents extensive commitment to mandatory debt repayment. In a natural experiment in which households can apply for free mortgage-payment flexibility for one to twelve months, 43 percent of applicants choose a dominated option of short flexibility. I argue that short flexibility fulfills a desire for partial commitment due to self-control problems because (i) applying for short flexibility correlates with other commitment strategies to increase savings and (ii) consumption drops discontinuously at the predictable end of flexibility. This desire for commitment can reduce the potency of debt-forbearance offers in recessions and contribute to asset illiquidity.
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