印尼电动汽车的社会经济影响和消费者偏好分析

C. Nuryakin, R. Riyanto, S. A. Riyadi, Ashintya Damayati, A. P. Pratama, Natanael Waraney Gerald Massie
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引用次数: 4

摘要

目前,电动汽车(EV)进入印尼汽车市场相对较新,市场渗透率最高。本研究讨论了电动汽车在该国早期投资的两个主要社会经济方面。首先,我们研究了印尼在经济、环境和财政方面加速发展电动汽车的可行性和影响。其次,我们通过对大雅加达地区的用户和潜在汽车用户进行初步数据分析,得出消费者对电动汽车的偏好。在本分析中,我们特别估计了每种电动汽车类型(即混合动力电动汽车(HEV),插电式电动汽车(PHEV)和纯电动汽车(BEV))所需的价格激励措施,以获得一定的市场曝光率。我们还利用模拟方法估算了加速使用电动汽车的各种政策情景对汽车工业市场和汽车零部件行业,以及政府(财政),环境(二氧化碳减排)和宏观经济收入的影响。我们的研究结果表明,与内燃机相比,需要大量的价格和非价格激励措施来鼓励印尼消费者考虑电动汽车。从环境和财政的角度来看,我们发现PHEV作为更好的车辆被引入该国的汽车景观,与上述三种电动汽车的谨慎混合也是一个可行的选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Socioeconomic Impacts and Consumer Preferences Analysis of Electrified Vehicle in Indonesia
Electrified vehicles (EV) entry to the Indonesian automotive market at the moment is relatively new, with market penetration being modest at best. This study discusses two major socioeconomic aspects of EVs in their early ventures in the country. First, we examine the feasibility and the impact of accelerating the development of electric cars in Indonesia in economic, environmental, and fiscal aspects. Second, we use primary data analysis by conducting users and prospective car users in the Greater Jakarta area to elicit the consumers’ preferences for electric cars. In this analysis, we specifically estimate the necessary price incentives for each of the EV types, i.e., Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV), Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PHEV), and Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV), to gain certain market exposure in the country. We also utilize simulation method in estimating the impacts of various scenarios of policies in accelerating the use of EV vehicles on the automotive industry market and the automotive component industry, as well as government (fiscal), environmental (CO2 emission reduction) and macroeconomic revenues. Our findings suggest that considerable amount of price and non-price incentives is needed to encourage Indonesian consumers to consider EVs compared to ICE. On the environmental and fiscal perspective, we find PHEV serve as the better vehicle to be introduced into the country’s automotive landscape, with a prudent mixture of the three aforementioned EV being also a viable option.
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