基于事件树分析的概率能量流计算方法

2021 IEEE 4th International Conference on Renewable Energy and Power Engineering (REPE) Pub Date : 2021-10-09 DOI:10.1109/REPE52765.2021.9617082

Hang Li, Kai Yuan, Yi Song, Chongbo Sun, Kai Hou

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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于不同类型的能源系统之间的密切相互作用，一个系统的事故可能会蔓延到其他系统，从而影响RIES的运行。因此，采用事件树分析(ETA)来描述初始事故如何在系统间逐步传播。在此基础上，提出了考虑源负荷波动和组件不可用率等不确定性因素的概率能量流计算方法。通过一个包含119个节点的测试系统验证了该方法的有效性。

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Probalistic Energy Flow Calculation Method based on Event Tree Analysis

Due to the close interaction between different types of energy system, the accident in one system may spread to others, which will affect the operation of RIES. As a result, The event tree analysis (ETA) is adopted to describe how the initial accident propagates among systems step by step. Then, A probabilistic energy flow calculation method considering the uncertainties including source-load fluctuation and component unavailability rate can be developed. A test system with 119 nodes is investigated to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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2021 IEEE 4th International Conference on Renewable Energy and Power Engineering (REPE)

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