救恩的技术吗?

M. Rowlands
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现有的化石能源能否与遏制气候变化的目标相一致,这一点值得怀疑。碳捕获和封存技术目前还不能在工业规模上发挥作用,即使它们能够发挥作用,它们也会将化石燃料的能源投资回报率(EROI)降低到可接受的水平以下。核裂变的EROI是有争议的,但大多数同行评议的工作将其放在5-14范围内,这使得它的实用性受到质疑。核聚变即使成功了,也不能及时投入使用。一些可再生能源——尤其是各种生物燃料——的eroi低得令人无法接受。剩下的可再生能源——太阳能、风能、水电和波浪能——的eroi,充其量也只是处于生存的边缘。由于这些技术目前还不成熟,因此有理由希望对它们进行改进。与此同时,如果我们能找到一种让他们占优势的方法,那就再好不过了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Salvation Technologies?
Available fossil energy sources are dubiously compatible with the goal of arresting climate change. Carbon capture and sequestration technologies currently do not work on an industrial scale, and even if they could be made to work, they will reduce the energy returned on energy invested (EROI) of fossil fuels to below acceptable levels. The EROI of nuclear fission is disputed, but most peer-reviewed work places it in the 5–14 range, making it of questionable utility. Nuclear fusion, if it works, will not be available in time. Some renewable sources—notably, various biofuels—have unacceptably low EROIs. The remaining forms of renewable energy—solar, wind, hydropower, and wave power—sport EROIs that are, at best, on the cusp of viability. There is reasonable hope for improvement in these technologies because they are, at present, immature. In the meantime, it would be ideal if we could find a way to give them an edge.
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