COVID-19传播动力学敏感性分析

G. Bhuju, G. R. Phaijoo, D. B. Gurung
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引用次数: 1

摘要

冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV-2)引起的传染病。这种病毒通过咳嗽、打喷嚏、说话等产生的小飞沫在密切接触的人群中传播。本文采用SEIHR流行区室模型研究了COVID- 19的传播动力学。利用下一代矩阵法计算基本复制数。讨论了模型平衡点的稳定性。对模型进行敏感性分析,确定模型参数的相对重要性。仿真是为了图解地说明数学结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sensitivity Analysis of COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics
Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The virus is spread between people during close contact via small droplets produced by coughing, sneezing, talking etc. In the present work, the transmission dynamics of the COVID- 19 is studied using SEIHR epidemic compartmental model. Basic reproduction number is computed with the help of the method of Next Generation Matrix. Stability of equilibrium points of the model is discussed. Sensitivity analysis of the model is performed to determine the relative importance of the model parameters. Simulations are made to illustrate the mathematical results graphically.
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