在哪里等出租车?

Xudong Zheng, X. Liang, Ke Xu
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引用次数: 51

摘要

为了节省时间,人们常常需要决定在哪里等出租车。为了解决这一问题,本文采用非齐次泊松过程(NHPP)对空置出租车的行为进行建模。根据历史上空置出租车在道路上的停车时间和离开道路的空置出租车数量的统计,我们可以估计出在不同时间路段的等待时间。我们还提出了一种方法,根据我们估计的等待时间,为潜在乘客提供在哪里等出租车的建议。然后,我们通过对北京12,000辆出租车的模拟乘客和实际轨迹进行实验来评估我们的方法。结果表明,我们的估计是比较准确的,可以看作是概率等待时间的可靠上界。我们的建议是在等待时间和步行距离之间进行权衡,这将给潜在的乘客带来实际的帮助。此外,基于我们的方法和历史数据,我们在Android系统上开发了一款手机应用“出租车服务员”来帮助用户等车。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Where to wait for a taxi?
People often have the demand to decide where to wait for a taxi in order to save their time. In this paper, to address this problem, we employ the non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) to model the behavior of vacant taxis. According to the statistics of the parking time of vacant taxis on the roads and the number of the vacant taxis leaving the roads in history, we can estimate the waiting time at different times on road segments. We also propose an approach to make recommendations for potential passengers on where to wait for a taxi based on our estimated waiting time. Then we evaluate our approach through the experiments on simulated passengers and actual trajectories of 12,000 taxis in Beijing. The results show that our estimation is relatively accurate and could be regarded as a reliable upper bound of the waiting time in probability. And our recommendation is a tradeoff between the waiting time and walking distance, which would bring practical assistance to potential passengers. In addition, we develop a mobile application TaxiWaiter on Android OS to help the users wait for taxis based on our approach and historical data.
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