斯普斯卡共和国天气条件对造成最严重后果的交通事故的影响

Ljubo Glamočić, Danislav Drašković, N. Torbica
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引用次数: 0

摘要

造成最严重后果的交通事故,即交通事故人员伤亡和巨大物质损失,是众多复杂影响因素共同作用的结果。在这些重要因素中,有不同的时间参数,即气象参数。研究天气参数对交通事故发生的影响是20世纪70年代初的研究课题。天气条件通常对交通事故的发生有双重影响,如:对交通事故风险的影响和对暴露于事故风险的影响。也就是说,时间参数直接或间接地影响着交通安全,或交通事故的发生。也就是说,已经证明天气条件影响交通流结构的变化(运输方式的变化),以及实现的总行程数。虽然给人的印象是天气状况对交通事故发生的影响是明确和明确的,但对天气状况影响的具体研究很少,结果有时与预期不同。通过一份审查报告,分析的一个特别方面将集中于查明时间特征的具体变化,目的是确认这些变化对斯普斯卡共和国境内造成最严重后果的交通事故数量的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Influence of the Weather Conditions on Traffic Accidents With the Most Severe Consequences in the Republic of Srpska
Traffic accidents with the most severe consequences, i.e. killed in traffic accidents and great material damage, are the result of numerous complex impact factors. Among these important factors, there are different time parameters, that is, meteorological parameters. Research on the impact of weather parameters on the occurrence of traffic accidents was the subject of research in the early 70s of the twentieth century. Weather conditions usually have a double impact on the occurrence of traffic accidents such as: the impact on the risk of a traffic accident and the impact on the exposure to the risk of an accident. In other words, it can be said that the time parameters influence directly and indirectly on the safety of traffic, or the occurrence of traffic accidents. Namely, it has been proven that the weather conditions influence the change in the structure of the traffic flow (change of mode of transport), as well as the total number of realized trips. Although the impression is that the impact of weather conditions on the occurrence of traffic accidents is unambiguous and clear, concrete research on the impact of weather conditions is quite rare and the results sometimes differ from the expected ones. Through a review report, a special aspect of the analysis will focus on identifying concrete changes in the characteristics of time, with the aim of recognizing their impact on the number of traffic accidents with the most severe consequences in the Republic of Srpska.
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