不相容的目标、不确定的信息和冲突的激励:调度困境

Kersha Smith
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文采用传统的决策树和蒙特卡罗方法进行了一系列的敏感性分析,为解决航空公司调度激励冲突所带来的困境提供了一种合理的方法。采用这种方法可能会为整个行业节省数百万美元,但这需要企业理念的全面改变。这篇论文提倡的激励结构是,把更多的价值放在决策过程上,而不是在很大程度上不可控的结果上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Incompatible goals, uncertain information and conflicting incentives: The dispatch dilemma
This paper presents a series of sensitivity analyses, using a traditional decision tree and Monte Carlo methods, that provide a rational approach for resolving dilemmas posed by conflicting airline dispatch incentives. Adoption of this approach might save the industry millions, but would require a wholesale change in corporate philosophy. The paper advocates incentive structures that place greater value on the process of decisionmaking than in their largely uncontrollable outcomes.
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