中东和北非国家增长、外国直接投资和贸易的关系:因果检验

Mehdi Behname
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究采用Panel模型对1977 - 2009年Mena国家的外商直接投资(FDI)、出口(EX)和国内生产总值(GDP)三个变量之间的因果关系进行了研究。对变量进行了平稳性检验,并进行了Pedroni协整检验,表明变量之间不存在长期关系。检验结果表明,GDP与FDI之间存在双向因果关系,且两者相互强化,在该区域FDI与EX之间存在因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Relationship between Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in MENA Countries: A Causality Test
The present research studies the causality relationship between the three variables of foreign direct investment (FDI), export (EX) and gross domestic product (GDP) for the period from 1977 to 2009 using Panel model for Mena countries. Having performed the variables stationarity test, Pedroni co-integration test has been done which indicates that there is no long-run relationship between variables. The test results indicate that there is a bidirectional causality relationship between GDP and FDI and these two reinforce each other and there is a causality relationship from FDI to EX in this zone.
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