2006-2018年汇率和利率对尼日利亚外国直接投资的影响

Benson Emmanuel, Eya Criscent Ike, Yunusa Alhasan
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本研究考察了2006-2018年汇率和利率对尼日利亚外国直接投资的影响。该研究使用了二手数据,这些数据来自尼日利亚中央银行2000-2018年的财务报表。使用增广Dickey Fuller检验对数据的单位根性质进行分析,变量在一差时均平稳。采用Johansen协整检验统计量检验数据的协整性,采用误差修正模型检验研究变量之间的长期和短期关系。使用Jarque-Bera检验统计量对数据进行正态性检验。研究结果表明,汇率与外国直接投资(FDI)之间存在正相关关系。这种关系具有统计学意义(因为tcal = 7.25891),大于ttab = 2.101 (df 17),符合先验预期。由长润协整方程可知,利率(INT)与外商直接投资(FDI)之间存在负相关关系,且结果不具有统计学意义(因为tcal = -12.5639大于ttab = 2.101 @ df 17)。长期来看,通货膨胀(INF)与外国直接投资(FDI)负相关。单位通货膨胀率(INF)的增加将导致外国直接投资对应的GDP增长23.37%。这种关系具有统计学意义(p<0.05)(因为tcal = -12.5639)小于ttab = 2.101@ df 17),符合我们的先验预期。有人建议,如果在金融公司任命外部董事,可以增加公司的股票价值,因此可以增加董事会构成对完全自愿披露的影响。会议的结论是,外国直接投资是投资于农业、制造业和向经济转让技术的重要途径。除其他外,有人建议政府应通过采取健全的财政和货币政策来寻求稳定汇率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Exchange and Interest Rates on Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria 2006-2018
This study examined the Effect of Exchange and Interest Rates on Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria 2006-2018. Secondary data was used for the study and it was obtained from the financial statement of the Central Bank of Nigeria for the period 2000-2018. The unit root property of the data was analyzed using the Augmented Dickey Fuller Test and the variables were all stationary at first difference. Also, Johansen Co-integration test statistics was used to test the cointegrating nature of the data while the longrun and the shortrun relationship between the variables of the study were examined using the error correction model. The data was tested for normality using the Jarque-Bera test statistics. The result of the study indicates that a positive relationship exist between Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The relationship is statistically significant (as tcal = 7.25891) is greater than ttab = 2.101 df 17) and in line with a priori expectation. The longrun co-integrating equation shows that a negative relationship exit between Interest Rate (INT) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and the result is not statistically significant (as tcal = -12.5639 is greater than ttab = 2.101 @ df 17). Inflation (INF) was negatively related to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the long-run. A unit increase in Inflation (INF) will lead to a corresponding increase in Foreign Direct Investment by GDP by 23.37%. This relationship is statistically significant (p<0.05) (as tcal = -12.5639) is less than ttab = 2.101@ df 17) and in line with our a priori expectation. It was recommended among others that board composition effect on total voluntary disclosure can be increased when appointment is made sometimes of an outside director who is an official of a financial firm as it has been found to increase firm share value. It was concluded that FDI is an important avenue for investment in agricultural, manufacturing and transfer of technology to an economy. It was recommended among others that the government should seek to stabilize exchange rates, through adoption of sound fiscal and monetary policies.
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