基于约束系统的人口可控性分析与人口结构预测

Yue Xiao-ning, Meng Zhao-jia, Xie Feng-dan
{"title":"基于约束系统的人口可控性分析与人口结构预测","authors":"Yue Xiao-ning, Meng Zhao-jia, Xie Feng-dan","doi":"10.1109/CCDC.2014.6852437","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"It is established that population structure prediction time-varying restriction system model, and its controllability of the system is analyzed through grey system theory and control theory. Based on Liapunov central limit theorem, the conclusion that child-bearing age of women is subject to the normal distribution is obtained, and the density function of fertility age is given. Fertility restricted function is introduced, and we define population migration quantity as control variable, and state feedback gain matrix is established by fertility restricted function, on the basis of which, the discrete time-varying population structure restriction system is established, at the same time its controllability is analyzed by the fertility restriction function and population structure is predicted in a closed region. Finally, error analysis is made through the model, and accuracy and dependability of the model are proved.","PeriodicalId":380818,"journal":{"name":"The 26th Chinese Control and Decision Conference (2014 CCDC)","volume":"100 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2014-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of population controllability and prediction of population structure based on constraint system\",\"authors\":\"Yue Xiao-ning, Meng Zhao-jia, Xie Feng-dan\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/CCDC.2014.6852437\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"It is established that population structure prediction time-varying restriction system model, and its controllability of the system is analyzed through grey system theory and control theory. Based on Liapunov central limit theorem, the conclusion that child-bearing age of women is subject to the normal distribution is obtained, and the density function of fertility age is given. Fertility restricted function is introduced, and we define population migration quantity as control variable, and state feedback gain matrix is established by fertility restricted function, on the basis of which, the discrete time-varying population structure restriction system is established, at the same time its controllability is analyzed by the fertility restriction function and population structure is predicted in a closed region. Finally, error analysis is made through the model, and accuracy and dependability of the model are proved.\",\"PeriodicalId\":380818,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The 26th Chinese Control and Decision Conference (2014 CCDC)\",\"volume\":\"100 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2014-07-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The 26th Chinese Control and Decision Conference (2014 CCDC)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/CCDC.2014.6852437\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The 26th Chinese Control and Decision Conference (2014 CCDC)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CCDC.2014.6852437","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

建立了种群结构预测时变约束系统模型,并运用灰色系统理论和控制理论分析了系统的可控性。根据Liapunov中心极限定理,得出了妇女生育年龄服从正态分布的结论,并给出了生育年龄的密度函数。引入生育限制函数,将人口迁移量定义为控制变量,通过生育限制函数建立状态反馈增益矩阵,在此基础上建立离散时变人口结构限制系统,同时利用生育限制函数分析其可控性,并在封闭区域内预测人口结构。最后通过模型进行误差分析,证明了模型的准确性和可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of population controllability and prediction of population structure based on constraint system
It is established that population structure prediction time-varying restriction system model, and its controllability of the system is analyzed through grey system theory and control theory. Based on Liapunov central limit theorem, the conclusion that child-bearing age of women is subject to the normal distribution is obtained, and the density function of fertility age is given. Fertility restricted function is introduced, and we define population migration quantity as control variable, and state feedback gain matrix is established by fertility restricted function, on the basis of which, the discrete time-varying population structure restriction system is established, at the same time its controllability is analyzed by the fertility restriction function and population structure is predicted in a closed region. Finally, error analysis is made through the model, and accuracy and dependability of the model are proved.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信